.

Sunday, December 29, 2019

Mortality Is A Good Thing Or Is Immorality A Bad Thing Essay

Erika A. Perez Philosophy M01 October 25, 15 1151words Justice Mortality is a good thing or is immorality a bad thing? Most of us do not realize that part of one of our issues of living a good life is doing the right thing. Aristotle talks about that each and one of us has their own lives to live and we make our own decisions. Mortality is more flexible and changing. What is right today can be wrong tomorrow and what was wrong yesterday can be right today. It is unavoidable that people will go against laws of society from time to time. Some people will steal goods from stores, rob banks for money, and take it up a level to commit something as evil and wrongful as a murder. Whether or not these actions were for a good intention or bad intention, it is possible that these types of people will be sent to jail. â€Å"It is true that we all have our own lives to live and our own decisions to make† (Thomson 80). One example of this is Socrates’ case where he is being accused by Meletus for corrupting the youth of Athens which with his p hilosophical ideas and questions, and not believing in the Gods of the city of Athens was one of the formal accusations. Socrates was sharing his views and not sharing it with the rest of the people and officials of the city of Athens. â€Å"So a self-indulgent person really thinks that his action are for the best or at least the person thinks so when he is performing them† (Thomson 86). Socrates philosophical ideas caused him to be sent to jail, andShow MoreRelatedEssay on Atheism1218 Words   |  5 Pagesbeautiful wings, a shining halo, and all of their loved ones will be with them. Atheism, on the other hand, leaves the question of afterlife open, which can be a frightening thought to not know what happens after you die. But the Atheists desire for immorality diminishes as they recognize that survival and day to day living is more important. Last semester, I decided to attend a church service at Northern’s Newman Center with my Mom who plays piano there. This was the first time I had been to any sortRead MoreImmorality In Gilgamesh2049 Words   |  9 Pages Immorality in Gilgamesh, Gilgamesh had a journey that he had begun with Enkidu which they had to travel to Cedar Forest to defeat Humbaba. When Enkidu died, Gilgamesh had to deal with his own journey that’s when everything begins for him. He learned immortality from which he got from Utnapishtim. His journey ended when he had returned to Uruk. The second part of his journey was for wisdom. When Gilgamesh had to find Utnapishtim, he believes that it was for immortality. But it was impossibleRead MoreAnalysis Of Mccarthy s Cellar Scene1075 Words   |  5 Pagesinquisitive syntax to debate the existence of religion in a Godless society, the comparative, graphic figurative language and urgent, delirious tone of McCarthy’s Cellar Scene reve al the natural tendency for evil to prevail over good and emphasizes the codependency of human mortality and love. Utilizing repetition, rhetorical questions, and simple sentence structure, McCarthy’s purposeful syntax allows a debate to ensue regarding the man’s spiritual beliefs and the existence of a God in the immoral societyRead MoreEssay on Kingdom and Culture1708 Words   |  7 Pagesculture is always on test. It inclines regarding immorality, nonetheless, more so in some times and places than in others. â€Å"Like everything else in a fallen world, culture possesses a permanent tendency to cross the line from being good to being evil.† The† Bible, however, does not locate evil in external form per se. The world and human culture are capable of being turned to good use or bad use. The abuse of something does not invalidate the thing itself. The result is the need for moral responsibilityRead MoreAnalysis Of Ernest Hemingway After World War I1515 Words   |  7 Pagesfor the sinister damage caused by war. In concern of his outlook of the world, it was nonchal ant and ominous, The world breaks every one and afterward many are strong at the broken places. But those that will not break it kills. It kills the very good and the very gentle and the very brave impartially. If you are none of these you can be sure it will kill you too but there will be no special hurry (216). Hemingway used Henry’s character to embody the philosophical existentialism movement; emphasizingRead MoreHow useful is ‘structural functionalism’ or ‘society as an organism’ as theoretical frameworks in considering the problem of ‘death’ as a sociological1775 Words   |  8 Pagesstructural functionalism. Rigney (2001: 17) describes structural functionalism as follows: â€Å"society is a system of independent parts working together to produce a vital functioning whole†. For example, as there are many roles played in society, good and bad, it can be likened to a theatre, in which our life is one big stage with many diffe rent parts being and acted out (Goffman, 1969). Yet it could be argued that this approach is too simplistic because it does not take into account when people andRead MoreBook Report - Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde4784 Words   |  20 Pagesremained in his thoughts, and he wrote an essay, On falling in love, for the  Cornhill Magazine. * Fanny and Robert were married in May 1880, although, as he said, he was a mere complication of cough and bones, much fitter for an emblem of mortality than a bridegroom. * He later wrote about the experience in  Ã¢â‚¬Å"The Amateur Emigrant.† * During his time in  Bournemouth, he wrote the story  Ã¢â‚¬Å"Strange Case of Dr Jekyll and Mr Hyde†, naming one of the characters â€Å"Mr.Poole† after the town of  Poole  whichRead MoreBook Report - Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde4772 Words   |  20 Pagesremained in his thoughts, and he wrote an essay, On falling in love, for the  Cornhill Magazine. * Fanny and Robert were married in May 1880, although, as he said, he was a mere complication of cough and bones, much fitter for an emblem of mortality than a bridegroom. * He later wrote about the experience in  Ã¢â‚¬Å"The Amateur Emigrant.† * During his time in  Bournemouth, he wrote the story  Ã¢â‚¬Å"Strange Case of Dr Jekyll and Mr Hyde†, naming one of the characters â€Å"Mr.Poole† after the town of  Poole  whichRead MoreHow Fa Has the Use of English Language Enriched or Disrupted Life and Culture in Mauritius15928 Words   |  64 Pagesreaders to break away from the repetitious pattern; the entire life of man is based upon a pattern and so are the months and days, never changing and always ending on January during the month or Saturday during the week. People tend to do the same thing every day – get up from bed, eat breakfast, go to work, eat lunch, get off work, eat dinner, and go to sleep –it never seems to change. Therefore, the narrator believes inconsistency is a key component to live life, to be diverse in how man lives.Read Morewisdom,humor and faith19596 Words   |  79 Pagesand Tomorrow (1945), 111, 122, 126.* â€Å"Religion and humor are incompatible. . . . Humor: the divine flash that reveals the world in its moral ambiguity and man in his profound incompetence to judge others; humor: the intoxicating relativity of human things; the strange pleasure that comes of the certainty that there is no certainty.† Milan Kundera, Testaments Betrayed (1995), 9, 32-33. â€Å"When people ask me if theres an afterlife, I answer, ‘If I knew, I would tell you.’† Art Buchwald,  Too Soon

Saturday, December 21, 2019

marketing plan Essay - 21150 Words

BSB07 Business Services Training Package Marketing Qualifications 2009 Delivery and Transition Guide: BSB51207 Diploma, and BSB60507 Advanced Diploma Version 1 27 November, 2008 Training Package Implementation Project Published by the Department of Innovation, Industry and Regional Development, Victoria  © State of Victoria 2008 This work is copyright. It may be reproduced in whole or in part for study or training purposes, subject to the inclusion of an acknowledgement of the source. Apart from any use permitted under the Copyright Act 1968, it is not to be used for commercial use or sale. Requests for other use should be addressed to the: Department of Innovation,†¦show more content†¦Business Services, which remains an industry on its own, has considerable relevance to most other industries, as evidenced by the popularity of the Training Package. The new package acknowledges this relevance and the cross industry applicability inherent in the area. Differences that teachers of Marketing should be aware of are: the new units a new coding system ( a letter is added to the unit code to indicate its currency. The letter A denotes the original version; the letter B its first revision, and any further letters denote later revisions) the removal of Key Competencies and their replacement with Employability Skills the separation of Required Skills and Required Knowledge into two separate sections the new wording of the units being active, not passive, ensuring a more direct form of communication the addition of ‘Application of the Unit’ to indicate the work roles and context of each unit an expansion of the ‘Evidence guides’ to include greater reference to other units and the opportunities available for co-assessment a new section, ‘Method of assessment’, which includes suggestions as to how the unit might be successfully assessed that some units have been deleted or merged as a response to ident ified overlaps and changed industryShow MoreRelatedA Marketing Plan For A New Marketing Strategy966 Words   |  4 Pagesthe governmental legal requirements and, on the other hand, defines the organization’s policy administration. For a triumphant marketing plan, understanding the government legal approaches allows for efficient operation and inter-relationship with other organization. Similarly, internal legal policies allow the company to uphold its operation in a set manner. 4.0: Marketing Audit A market audit process is a tool that can never be neglected despite the situation. However, very few companies carryRead MoreMarketing Plan For A Small Business2998 Words   |  12 Pagesin detail. †¢ The benefits of TQM when implementing the strategic plan to meet goals or increasing profit within a small business. †¢ The economy’s motivation of small businesses stability as compared to large businesses that are well established, also the financial assistance of other organization including the government. †¢ Different categories of a company and the importance of CRM to any size business. †¢ To compare the marketing plan of a small business and a large business where it reflects theRead MoreMarketing Plan827 Words   |  4 Pagesï » ¿Marketing Business Environment Marketing Planning: An Overview of Marketing 6 main questions to ask in order to create your marketing plan: 1. Where are we now? (Business Mission, Marketing audit, SWOT analysis) 2. How did we get here? (Business Mission, Marketing audit, SWOT analysis) 3. Where are we heading? (Marketing audit, SWOT Analysis) 4. Where would we like to be? (Marketing objectives) 5. How do we get there? (Core Strategy, Marketing mix decisions, Organization, ImplementationRead MoreMarketing Plan3248 Words   |  13 PagesSAMPLE MARKETING PLAN The following pages contain an annotated sample marketing plan for Blue Sky Clothing. At some point in your career, you will likely be involved in writing—or at least contributing to –a marketing plan. And you’ll certainly read many marketing plans throughout your business career. Keep in mind that the plan for Blue Sky is a single example; no one format is used by all companies. Also, the Blue Sky plan has been somewhat condensed to make it easier to annotate and illustrateRead MoreMarketing Plan4753 Words   |  20 Pagesresponsible firm by highlighting its products based on ecotourism, community tourism and sustainable tourism. 2. Situation Analysis Blaze Mountain travels and Tours has been operating for several years now. The trips have been well received, and marketing is now critical to its continued success and future profitability. Blaze Mountain travels and tours offer concepts like ecotourism and sustainable tourism to older tourists and hard adventure trips to the student tourists. This target market appreciatesRead MoreMarketing Plan3688 Words   |  15 PagesSITUATION ANALYSIS The marketing environment for LIMCOMA represents overwhelming opportunities. It also contains some challenges that the firm believes it can meet successfully. An illustration below shows a SWOT analysis of the company to highlight LIMCOMA’s strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats. Strengths LIMCOMA’S dedicated founders understand the target market and products. LIMCOMA has achieved distribution in several markets with quick acceptance The firm has a very littleRead MoreMarketing Plan3847 Words   |  16 PagesA marketing plan is a comprehensive blueprint which outlines an organization s overall marketing efforts. A marketing process can be realized by the marketing mix, which is outlined in step 4. The last step in the process is the marketing controlling. The marketing plan can function from two points: strategy and tactics (P. Kotler, K.L. Keller). In most organizations, strategic planning is an annual process, typically covering just the year ahead. Occasionally, a few organizations may look atRead MoreMarketing Planning : The Marketing Plan Essay1545 Words   |  7 PagesTo attract mixed segment ther is need to marketing planning is indeed the key to the whole marketing process. The marketing objectives state just where the company intends to be; at some specific time in the future. James Quinn succinctly defined objectives in general as: Goals state what is to be achieved and when results are to be accomplished, but they do not state how the results are to be achieved. They typically relate to what products will be where in what market. They are essentiallyRead MoreMarketing Plan For Subway Marketing1516 Words   |  7 PagesExecutive summary The marketing plan has close ties with the overall financial and business plan. This plan contents a strategy for success, and breaks it down into coherent, actionable components that will aid The Sub Shop to implement marketing activities to provide a firm return on investment. The following areas will help explain how the company plans to differentiate the business and product offering from the competition, and define the strategy that will drive its business forward. The aimRead MoreMarketing Plan1891 Words   |  8 Pagesa breakeven point in the second year after opening the store and become profitable in the third year of being in this business. In the first year, our profits will be low, due to low sales and high distribution, inventory, marketing and advertising and sales expenses. Marketing expenses will be very high in the first year. We have to inform the customers about this new product and get the consumers to try out this new concept. It will take â€Å"Just passin’ Thru† some time to build up the customer base

Friday, December 13, 2019

Factors Affecting Share Prices Free Essays

string(89) " International Research Journal of Finance and Economics – Issue 30 \(2009\) 78 1\." International Research Journal of Finance and Economics ISSN 1450-2887 Issue 30 (2009)  © EuroJournals Publishing, Inc. 2009 http://www. eurojournals. We will write a custom essay sample on Factors Affecting Share Prices or any similar topic only for you Order Now com/finance. htm Determinants of Equity Prices in the Stock Markets Somoye, Russell Olukayode Christopher Dept. of Banking Finance, Faculty of Management Science Olabisi Onabanjo University, Ago Iwoye, Nigeria P. O. Box 1104 Ijebu-Ode, Ijebu-Ode, Ogun State, Nigeria E-mail: kayodesomoye@yahoo. com Akintoye, Ishola Rufus Dept. of Accounting, Faculty of Management Science Olabisi Onabanjo University, Ago Iwoye, Nigeria E-mail: irakintoye@yahoo. com Oseni, Jimoh Ezekiel Dept. f Banking and Finance, Faculty of Management Science Olabisi Onabanjo University, Ago Iwoye, Nigeria E-mail: zikoseni@yahoo. com Abstract Brav Heaton (2003) alleges market indeterminacy (a situation where it is impossible to determine whether an asset is efficiently or inefficiently priced) in the stock market. Kang (2008) argue that empirical tests of linear asset pricing models show presence of mispricing in asset pricing. Asset pricing is considered efficient if the asset price reflects all available market i nformation to the extent no informed trader can outperform the market and / or the uninformed trader. This study examined the extent to which some â€Å"information factors† or market indices affect the stock price. A model defined by Al-Tamimi (2007) was used to regress the variables (stock prices, earnings per share, gross domestic product, lending interest rate and foreign exchange rate) after testing for multicollinarity among the independent variables. The multicollinarity test revealed very strong correlation between gross domestic product and crude oil price, gross domestic product and foreign exchange rate, lending interest rate and inflation rate. All the variables have positive correlation to stock prices with the exception of lending interest rate and foreign exchange rate. The outcomes of the study agree with earlier studies by Udegbunam and Eriki (2001); Ibrahim (2003) and Chaudhuri and Smiles (2004). This study has enriched the existing literature while it would help policy makers who are interested in deploying instruments of monetary policy and other economic indices for the growth of the capital market. Keywords: Stock prices, CAPM, models, coefficient, efficient, stock market. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics – Issue 30 (2009) 78 1. You read "Factors Affecting Share Prices" in category "Papers" 0. Introduction The price of a commodity, the economist makes us to believe is determined by the forces of demand and supply in a free economy. Even if we accept the economists’ view, what factors influence demand and supply behavior? Price? Yes, but not all the time, at least there are some other factors. In the securities market, whether the primary or the secondary market, the price of equity is significantly influenced by a number of factors which include book value of the firm, dividend per share, earnings per share, price earning ratio and dividend cover (Gompers, Ishii Metrick, 2003). The most basic factors that influence price of equity share are demand and supply factors. If most people start buying then prices move up and if people start selling prices go down. Government policies, firm’s and industry’s performance and potentials have effects on demand behaviour of investors, both in the primary and secondary markets. The factors affecting the price of an equity share can be viewed from the macro and micro economic perspectives. Macro economic factors include politics, general economic conditions – i. e. how the economy is performing, government regulations, etc. Then there may be other factors like demand and supply conditions which can be influenced by the performance of the company and, of course, the performance of the company vis-a-vis the industry and the other players in the industry. In a study of the impact of dividend and earnings on stock prices, Hartone (2004) argues that a significantly positive impact is made on equity prices if positive earnings information occurs after negative dividend information. Also, a significantly negative impact occurs in equity pricing if positive dividend information is followed by negative earning information. Docking and Koch (2005) discovers that there is a direct relationship between dividend announcement and equity price behavior. Al-Qenae, Li Wearing (2002) in their study of the effects of earning (micro-economic factor), inflation and interest rate (macro-economic factors) on the stock prices on the Kuwait Stock Exchange, discovered that the macro-economic factors significantly impact stock prices negatively. A previous study by Udegbunam and Eriki (2001) of the Nigerian capital market also shows that inflation is inversely correlated to stock market price behaviour. A number of models developed for asset pricing are two variable models. For instance the Capital asset pricing model (CAPM) developed by Sharpe (1964) considers the risk-free return and volatility of the risk-free return to market return as the determinants of asset price. Asset price as described by CAPM is linearly related to the two independent variables. Many studies have concluded that over the years assets were being underpriced (Smith, 1977; Loderer, Sheehan Kadlec, 1991) and this raises the question of the adequacy of the various asset pricing models to ensure efficient asset pricing. Brav Heaton (2003) alleges market indeterminacy, a situation where it is impossible to determine whether an asset is efficiently or inefficiently priced. Kang (2008) found that empirical tests of linear asset pricing models show presence of mispricing in asset pricing. Asset pricing is considered efficient if the asset price reflects all available market information to the extent no informed trader can outperform the market and / or the uninformed trader. This study aims at examining the extent to which some â€Å"information factors† or market indices affect the stock price. The rest of the paper is designed as follows: Section 2 reviews literature on factors influencing asset prices, effects of inefficient asset pricing and some of the existing asset pricing techniques. Section 3 states the data and the sources, the data restructuring and the model used for data analysis while Section 4 discussed and interpret the results of the data analysis. Lastly, section 4 is the conclusion. 2. 0. Conceptual Framework and Literature Review 2. 1. Conceptual Framework Several attempts have been made to identify or study the factors that affect asset prices. Some researchers have also tried to determine the correlation between selected factors (internal and external, 179 International Research Journal of Finance and Economics – Issue 30 (2009) market and non-market factors, economic and non-economic factors) and asset prices. The outcomes of the studies vary depending on the scope of the study, the assets and factors examined. Zhang (2004) designed a multi-index model to determine the effect of industry, country and international factors on asset pricing. Byers and Groth (2000) defined the asset pricing process as a function utility (economic factors) and non-economic (psychic) factors. Clerc and Pfister (2001) posit that monetary policy is capable of influencing asset prices in the long run. Any change in interest rates especially unanticipated change affects growth expectations and the rates for discounting investment future cash flows. Ross’ (1977) APT model which could be taken as a protest of one factor model of CAPM which assumes that asset price depends only on market factor believe that the asset price is influenced by both the market and non-market factors such as foreign exchange, inflation and unemployment rates. One of the defects of APT in spite of its advancement of asset pricing model is that the factors to be included in asset pricing are unspecified. Al – Tamimi (2007) identified company fundamental factors (performance of the company, a change in board of directors, appointment of new management, and the creation of new assets, dividends, earnings), and external factors ( government rules and regulations, inflation, and other economic conditions, investor behavior, market conditions, money supply, competition, uncontrolled natural or environmental circumstances) as influencers of asset prices. He developed a simple regression model to measure the coefficients of correlation between the independent and dependent variables. SP = f (EPS, DPS, OL, GDP, CPI, INT, MS) Where, SP: Stock price; EPS: Earnings per share; DPS: Dividend per share; OL: Oil price; GDP: Gross domestic product; CPI: Consumer price index; INT: Interest rate and MS: Money supply. He discovered that the firm’s fundamental factors exercise the most significant impact on stock prices. The EPS was found to be the most influencing factor over the market. Studying the effects of the Iraq war on US financial markets, Rigobon and Sack (2004) discovered that increases in war risk caused declines in Treasury yields and equity prices, a widening of lower-grade corporate spreads, a fall in the dollar, and a rise in oil prices. A positive correlation exists between the price of oil and war. They argue that war has a significant impact on the oil price. Tymoigne (2002) argue that in the financial market, banking convention and financial convention work together to fix the assets’ market prices. According to him the financial convention creates a speculative sentiment of whether capitalists are more prone to sell, or to buy assets while the banking convention determines the state of credit as evidenced by the confidence of the banking sector and ability of investors accessing credit leverage for asset acquisition purpose. He concluded that â€Å"conventions do not determine asset-price, it is the â€Å"law of supply and demand† that does so, conventionsâ€Å"only† influence the behaviors of financial actors† Inflation as an external factor exerts a very significant negative influence on the stock prices in Nigeria (Zhao,1999 Udegbunam and Eriki, 2001). Factors affecting asset prices are numerous and inexhaustible. The factors can be categorized into firm, industry, country and international or market and non-market factors, and economic and noneconomic factors. All the factors can be summarized into two classes – micro and macro factors. Factors in each class of the classification are inexhaustible. For instance, the firm factors include, ownership structure, management quality, labour force quality, earnings ratios, dividend payments, net book value, etc. have impact on the investor’s pricing decision. Molodovsky (1995) believes that dividends are the hard core of stock value. The value of any asset equals the present value of all cash flows of the asset. 2. 2. Effects Of Inefficient Asset Pricing Inefficient asset pricing could be a catalyst to inefficient resource allocation among competing productive investment opportunities. Underpricing can serve as positive signal to the market (Giammariano Lewis, 1989) to compensate the uninformed and get them to participate in the new International Research Journal of Finance and Economics – Issue 30 (2009) 180 offer (Rock, 1986; Allen Faulhaber, 1989; Grinblatt Hwang, 1989; Welch, 1989). The market is information-sensitive. Prices tend to take a declining trend few days to the release of a firm’s new offer and the price recovery starts few days after the completion of the offer, especially if he offer is fully subscribed (Barclay and Litzenberger, 1988). Easley, Hridkjaer and O’Hara (2001) agree that market is information sensitive at least to the extent that private (insider) information affect asset returns and advised that it should not be ignored for efficient asset pricing. The firm’s beta ratios, its market value to book value, its current price to earnings ratio and the historical growth rate in earning per share are identified by Moore Beltz (2002) as possessing strong influence on the equity price of the firm. They also argue that the identified factors have varying effects on the price and the effects vary from time to time, sector to sector and even from firm to firm within the same industry. For instance, they argue that equity prices of individual firm in heavy industries (chemical, petroleum, metal and manufacturing) are exclusively influenced by the firm’s beta and market to book value while firms in the technology sector are influenced by the historical growth rate in earning per share as well as beta and market to book value ratio. The equity price in transportation industry is affected by beta and price to earning ratio. Though, Moore Beltz (2002) constructed a tree relating the impact of each identified factors in each of the selected model but did not construct a model that could be used in assessing direct impact of the identified factors on the equity price. Asset pricing could be a challenge. Hordahl Packer (2006) argue that a clear understanding of the asset’s stochastic discount factor and future payoffs is necessary to understand the factors that determine the price of an asset. Unfortunately, only Government instruments provide their stochastic discount factor in advance while the future payoffs are not observable directly but could be derived from some other data. Corwin (2003 identifies uncertainty and asymmetric information as a strong influence on the firm’s equity pricing and as a matter of fact lead to underpriced instrument. In the light of the preceding literature review, many factors both micro and macro-economics, have impact on equity pricing in the stock market, the impact differs from firm to firm, industry to industry, economy to economy and from time to time, but one comforting conclusion is that most of the factors appear to have the same behaviour regardless of time, industry or firm constraints. For instance, increased inflation and interest rates, declining dividends, earnings, poor management leave negative impact on equity pricing and vice-versa 2. 3. Asset Pricing Techniques There are several asset pricing models aside from CAPM and APT which are both linear model. A few of the available (non-linear) asset pricing techniques are reviewed in this section. 2. 3. 1. Residual Income Valuation This is one of the oldest valuation model with a trace to the work of Preinreich (1938). The valuation model discounts the future expected dividends and potential value of shareholders’ funds to the present value, giving effect to a proposition that the price of equity can be derived from the present value of all future dividends. Lo and Lys (2000) reviewed the Olhson Model (OM) developed in by Ohlson (1995) and which has been acknowledged with wide acceptance (Joos Zhdanov, 2007; Chen Zhao, 2008). The OM provides a platform for the empirical test of the residual income valuation (RIV). Lo and Lys (2000) defined RIV as: RIV = Pt = ? R-r Et (dt+r) Where Pt is defined as the equity market price at time t, dt represents dividends at the end of time t, R is the unity plus the discount rate (r) and Et is the expectation factor at time t. The RIV from the present value of expected dividend is based on the assumptions that (i) the accounting system meets the â€Å"clean surplus relation† i. e. 181 International Research Journal of Finance and Economics – Issue 30 (2009) To derive RIV from PVED, two additional assumptions are made. First, an â€Å"accounting system† that satisfies a clean surplus relation (CSR) is assumed: bt = bt-1 + xt – dt, bt represents the book value of equity at time t, xt represents the earnings at time t, and (ii) it is assumed that the book value of equity would grow at a rate less than R, that is R-r Et (bt+r) —————) 0 The assumptions form the basis to argue that the present value of expected dividend is a function of both the book value and discounted expected abnormal earnings. In that case RIV signifying the price of the asset can be stated thus: Pt = bt +? t=1 R-r Et (xat+r) Where xat = xt – rbt-1. Testing RIV empirically could be a contention on the premises that it has only one sided hypothesis: asset price is a function present value of future dividends. A rejection of the hypothesis when tested empirically may arouse dissenting voices from researchers who had believed in the efficacy of the model. In fact, Lee (2006) expressed the view that residual income valuation model provides a better valuation than the dividend model. John and Williams (1985), and Miller and Rock (1985), argue that dividend is a communication tool for the firm to pass information to the market in the event of information asymmetry which implies that there is a positive correlation between information asymmetry and a firm’s dividend policy. 2. 3. 2. Economic Valuation Model This model traced to Tully (2000) is developed to recognize economic profits as against the use of book profit in the valuation of asset. The model builds on the premises of profit maximization by owners of the firm and the profit is not to be restricted to book value, rather it covers the opportunity cost of not investing in profitable projects. Economical profit is differentiated from the book profit as the difference from revenues and economical costs (i. e. book costs plus opportunity cost of failure to invest in profitable project. The book profit can be defined as revenue less costs while economic profit is defined as total revenue from investment less cost of capital. Economic profit is higher than normal book profit because of the opportunity cost considered in the former. There are two approaches to the estimation of economic value added (Koller, Goedhart Wessels, 2005; Jennergren, 2008). The first is NOPLAT less capital charge (i. e. WACC multiplied by initial capital outlay). The value of the operating assets is therefore the initial capital outlay plus the present value of cash flows derived from economic value added. To obtain the equity value, the value of debt is deducted from the value of the operating assets. The second approach involves EBIT less taxes (i. e. PAT). PAT less capital charge after recognizing deferred taxes as part of the invested capital. The operating assets remain as the initial capital outlay (having considered the effect of deferred taxes) plus the present value of all income derived from the economic value added. Economic Valuation of Asset (EVA) Model as defined by Kislingerova (2000) is stated as: EVAt = Pt = NOPATt – Ct x WACCt where NOPATt is Net Operating Profit After Tax or the profit after tax (PAT), Ct is long-term capital (Ct is the sum of equity and invested capital or alternatively, it is the total of fixed assets and net working capital), WACC is Weighted Average Cost of Capital. Whenever EVA O, the shareholders’ wealth is maximized, if EVA =0 then there is a break-even point and at EVA 0 the shareholders’ wealth is in decline. EVA model serves as a tool in measuring both the performance of the firms as well its value. WACC serves a dual purpose. It is used in the calculation of EVA and its serves as the rate for discounting the present value of future earnings to the present time t. The value of the firm is therefore the addition of the book value of capital and the present value of future EVA. To derive the value of equity the value of debt would be deducted from the value of the firm. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics – Issue 30 (2009) 182 2. 3. 3. Discounted Cash Flow Model The model uses accounting data as input and the objective of the model is to derive equity value of a going concern. The value of equity is derived by deducting the value of debt (excluding deferred taxes and trade credits) from the total assets. Deferred taxes are regarded as part of equity (Brealey, Myers Allen, 2006). There are several variations to the adoption of the model (Jennergren, 2008). The discounted cash flow (DCF) is more adaptable to the valuation of a firm with high level of assets in place and low level of uncertainty about future cash flows (Joos Zhdanov, 2007). Cash flows available for discounting include dividends, free cash flow to equity and free cash to the firm (debt and equity). A firm can experience three types of growth ranging from stable growth, high growth to stable growth and high growth through transition to a stable growth. The discount rate could be either cost of equity, cost of debt or the weighted cost of capital (WACC). The choice of discount rate should depend on the type of cash flow (equity or firm) to be discounted. At least two models can be derived from the cash flow model. The Dividend Discount (DD) Model is suitable for a firm that pays dividends close to the free cash flow or where it is difficult to estimate the free cash flow to equity. The second model, Free Cash Flow Model is suitable where there is a significant margin between dividends and free cash flow to equity or if dividends are not available. The value of firm witnessing stable growth is given as: C:UsersjoseniD esk top D esk to pDISCOUNTED CA SHFLOW MODELS WHA T THEY A RE A ND HOW TO CHOOSE THE RIGHT ON E__filesImage8. if or a firm that experiences two stages of growth (i. e. high growth to stable growth), the value of the firm is: C:UsersjoseniDesk topDesk topDISCOUNTED CA SHFLOW MODELS WHA T THEY A RE A ND HOW TO CHOOSE THE RIGHT ONE__filesImage9. gif The value of a firm experiencing three levels of growth (i. e. high growth through transition to stable growth) is given as: C:UsersjoseniDesk topDesk topDISCOUNTED CA SHFLOW MODELS WHA T THEY A RE A ND HOW TO CHOOSE THE RIGHT ONE__filesI mage10. gif Where V0 represents equity value or firm value depending on which is discounted, CFt represents cash flow at time t, r represents cost of equity (for dividends or free cash flow to equity) or cost of capital ( for free cash flow to firm), g represents expected growth rate, ga represents initial expected growth (high growth period) and gn represents growth in a stable period; n and n1 are defined as the period in a two stage growth and high growth in a three stage growth models respectively while n2-n1 represents the transition period in the three stage growth model. . 3. 4. Dividend Valuation Model This is one of the commonest and simplest models for valuation of equity in the secondary market. The equity value is taken as the summation of discounted dividends receivable each year till the year of maturity and the price the equity is expected to be sold at maturity. The value of an investment is taken to be the discounted value of the cash flows. There are different variations to the model ranging from: One period valuation one Period to multi-periods Po = D1/(1 + ke) + P1/(1 + ke) Po = D1/(1 + ke)1 + D2/(1+ke)2 +†¦+ Dn/(1+ke)n + Pn/(1+ke)n – multi- period and to indeterminate length of time Infinity and, growth Po = D/(1+ke) (including Gordon growth) variations. D0(1+g)1 + D0(1+g)2 +†¦.. + D0(1+g)? Po = (1+ke)1 (1+ke)2 (1+ke)? or 183 Po = International Research Journal of Finance and Economics – Issue 30 (2009) D0– ke – g) Where: D = dividend paid / expected g = dividend’s growth rate = cost of equity or equity rate of return ke 1 – – n = period variation One of the motives behind the use of this valuation model is to identify over and underpriced shares. Moving away from the simplest form of this model Go and Olhson (1990) introduced a more tasking process for generating dividends and returns on equity investment which they adopted in some more specific valuation mo dels. The process is based on some assumptions such that equity holders would receive net dividends and there exists a linear relationship between variables. John and Williams (1985), and Miller and Rock (1985) argue that dividend is a communication tool for the firm to pass information to the market in the event of information asymmetry which implies that there is a positive correlation between information asymmetry and a firm’s dividend policy. 3. 0. Research Methodology We define the research hypotheses, sampling and data collection techniques as well as the statistical techniques used to test the data. . 1. Research Methodology We test the following hypotheses: Ho1: The earning per share significantly affects the stock price Ho2: The national gross domestic products significantly affect the stock price Ho3: The lending interest rate significantly affect the stock price Ho4: The foreign exchange rate significantly affect the stock price 3. 2. Model From the hypotheses, the stock price is a function of the impact of earning per share, dividend per share, gross domestic, interest rate and oil price. We restricted the influencing factors to five as representatives of the firm’s fundamental factors and external (country) factors. A simple linear regression model derived from Al-Tamimi (2007) is adopted for the study. Unlike Al-Tamimi (2007) who included consumer price index (CPI) and money supply (MS) as independent variables, those variables were replaced with inflation rate (INFL) and foreign exchange rate (FX) in view of the significant impact they have on the economies of developing countries. SP = f (EPS, DPS, GDP, INT, OIL, INFL, FX) Where, SP is the stock price; EPS is the earnings per share; DPS is the dividend per share; GDP is the gross domestic product, INT is the lending interest rate, OIL is the oil price; INFL is inflation and FX is the foreign exchange rate. SP is the dependent variable and it is used to regress the other independent variables (EPS, DPS, GDP, INT, OIL, INFL, FX) in the stock market. The outcome of the regression would be the variance on the dependent variable as resulting from the impact of the independent variables. To explain the effects of multicollinearity normally associated with multi-variables in regression analysis, multicollinearity test is conducted to explain the extent of correlation between the independent variables.. A multiple regression software (WASSA) was used to test the multicollinearity among the independent variables before proceeding to conduct the regression analysis. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics – Issue 30 (2009) 3. 3. Data Sampling 184 There are over 130 companies whose shares are being traded in the Nigerian capital market. The Banking sector in the last five years has dominated the market in terms of trading volumes and market performance. The earning per share (EPS) and dividend per share (DPS) of twelve companies listed on the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) and (average) annual GDP, crude oil price (OIL), lending interest rate (INT), inflation rate (INFL) and foreign exchange rate (FX) are used are analysed for effect on the stock price. The period covered by the data is year 2001 to 2007. The choice of the companies and period used for the data gathering depend on availability of data. . 4. Data Restructuring Weights are attached to EPS and DPS for each of the companies sampled for each of the year. The weight is derived as a ratio of the company’s EPS or DPS to the total EPS or DPS of all the companies for each of the years. The weight is thereafter multiplied with the respective company EPS or DPS to derive â€Å"weighted stock price (SP), EPS or DPS and thereafter all the companies weighte d SP, EPS or DPS are summed together for each of the year (APPENDIX I). 4. 0. Findings and Interpretation In a linear expression where more than two variables are deployed, multicollinearity between variables may not be ruled out. A multicollinearity test is therefore conducted for all the independent variables. Using the Pearson coefficient of correlation, we consider any correlation between two variables + 0. 75 as strong. For instance, from Table 1 below there is no significant correlation between earnings per share and dividend per share. Our explanations for it are into parts. First, all the companies in the sample reported earnings per share for each of the years covered by the study though in some instances the EPS are negative but not all the companies declared and /or paid dividends throughout all the periods. Secondly, EPS movement unlike DPS is largely outside the control of the Management. There is a strong correlation between crude oil price and GDP. The justification for the correlation between crude oil price and GDP can be found in the fact that the Nigerian economy predominantly depends on oil revenue. Table I: DPS EPS GDP OIL INT INF FX Outcomes of the Multicollinarity Test (Pearson Coefficient of Correlation DPS 1 -0. 302 0. 609 -0. 395 -0. 498 -0. 521 0. 724 EPS 1 -0. 523 -0. 596 0. 366 0. 778 -0. 037 GPD 1 0. 959 -0. 702 -0. 492 0. 795 OIL INT INFL FX 1 -0. 706 -0. 434 0. 614 1 0. 988 -0. 424 1 -0. 313 1 A strong correlation also exist between INFL and INT which might be the result of manufacturers and service providers passing increased lending interest rate to consumers. A strong correlation exists between FX and GDP. Unexpectedly, there is a strong correlation between INF and EPS, we do not have any explanation for this relationship. For our regression analysis, OIL and INFL were dropped from the model. Though there is a strong correlation between FX and GDP, both variables are used in the regression. FX and GDP variables are significant to the economy of developing nations like Nigeria, therefore their exclusion from the regression would result in a very high constant (? ). 185 International Research Journal of Finance and Economics – Issue 30 (2009) A regression analysis was run on the independent variables DPS, EPS, GDP and INT after dropping OIL, INFL and FX. Table I shows the result of the regression analysis. Table II: Summary of the Regression Analysis R2 0. 99996 ? – 67. 2385 0. 3835 0. 0869 0. 3805 – 0. 8236 – 1. 9741 Adjusted R2 0. 99978 T – Test – 9. 597 36. 259 33. 369 21. 809 – 7. 375 – 11. 214 Standard Error of Estimates 0. 4752 F – Test 5385. 033 R 0. 99998 Constant DPS EPS GDP INT FX The stock price (P) is highly sensitive to variation as indicated by R2 of 0. 99996. In other words there is 99. 9% and as a matter of fact 100% in stock variation caused by the independent variables. The variability as measured by coefficient of variation (? ) is expectedly positive for DPS, EPS and GDP and expectedly negative for lending interest (INT) though quite significantly. The ? for DPS and EPS though positive were not significant. Many of the companies resorted to bonus issues instead of dividends and the Nigerian investors are more interested in incomes rather than capital appreciation especially where the stock market performance is poor. The failure to declare and pay dividend leaves two negative impacts on stock prices. The existing investors are denied additional funds to invest and the potential investors seeking investment incomes are discouraged. The hypothesis that EPS affect stock price significantly is accepted. The positive GDP’s coefficient in relation to the stock price is in agreement with some other studies (Udegbunam and Eriki,2001; Ibrahim 2003; Mukherjee and Naka 1995; Chaudhuri and Smiles, 2004). The ? is insignificant at 0. 805 and this might not be unconnected with the increasing foreign reserve maintained by CBN from the proceeds of crude oil sales. The proceeds of the crude oil sales are not released to the economy for investment in various productive sectors of the economy but rather held in foreign economies as part of the CBN’s monetary policies. The domestic economy is denied of the investments that would have occurred if the funds in the foreign reserve are released for spendin g in the domestic economy. The hypothesis that the GDP affects stock price significantly is accepted. The coefficient of interest which is negative is expected and found to be significant. The negative coefficient of the lending interest rate is in agreement with the findings of Al-Qenae, Li Wearing (2002), and Mukherjee and Naka (1995). Lending interest rate is a strong tool in the hands of CBN to influence the economy and where the interest is high as it is Nigeria where lending interest rates hovers between 22% and 25%, the accessibility of the investors to access funds is curtailed and the impact on the stock price would be negative as shown. The hypothesis that lending interest rate affects the stock price significantly is accepted The foreign exchange rate’s coefficient is significantly negative at significant level of 10%. This is not unexpected. Local and foreign investors tend to invest in an economy that has a very high currency exchange rate to foreign currencies. The local investors are discouraged from taking their funds out of the economy for fear of reduced purchasing while foreign investors are encouraged otherwise for increased purchasing power. The hypothesis that foreign exchange rate affects the stock price significantly is accepted. Lastly, the constant (? ) is 67. 2385 (negative). This suggests that the minimum stock price in the market is 0. We had initially excluded FX from the regression for the reason of its collinearity with GDP but the constant was negative and excessively high. The inclusion of FX has reduced the negativity which is an indication that there are other important variable(s) that significantly affect the stock prices but not considered in this study. The stock price cannot be 0 except the company is in liquidation. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics – Issue 30 (2009) 186 This raises an important question of what factor(s) could have accounted for the extra ordinary stock market performance in Nigeria between 2005 and 2007 where some stocks return over 1000% per annum. The nation House of Representative’s Committee on Capital Markets expressed disgust at the hike in the stock prices of companies in the banking and oil sectors (Thisday Newspapers, 2008). The â€Å"hike† which may not be a non-economic factor (such as political, unhealthy competition, profiteering by issuers who are at the same time market investors) may be the omitted important variable accounting for the high ?. . 0. Conclusions and Recommendations The forces of demand and supply have direct effect on the stock price while the other indeterminate number of firm, industry and country factors influences the demand and supply factors. The effect, positive or negative the other factors apart from the demand and supply leave on stock price are not static rather changes. For i nstance, lending interest rate effect could be positive or negative depending on the aim of the CBN in deploying it as one of the tools for implementing monetary policy. The study has contributed to existing literatures in confirming or raising new issues with respect to other factors influencing stock prices. Interest researchers may want to identify and examine the non-economic factor that account for the high constant (? ) which may not be unconnected with the current meltdown in the Nigerian stock market. Lastly, policy makers who are concerned about the growth of the capital market are better informed on how to deploy the monetary policies instruments as well other economic indices to achieve the desired market growth. Bibliography [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] Allen, F. nd G. R. Faulhaber, 1989. â€Å"Signaling by Underpricing in The IPO Market†, Journal of Financial Economics, 23 Al – Tamimi, Hussein (2007), â€Å"Factors Affecting Stock Prices in The UAE Financial Markets†, Singapore Economic Review Conference, https://editorialexpress. com/conference/SERC2007 Al-Qenae, Rashid; Li, Carmen Wearing, Bob (2002) â€Å"The Information Content of Earnings on Stock Prices: The Kuwait Stock Exchange,† Multinational Finance Journal, 6 Barclay, M. , and R. Litzenberger. (1988). â€Å"Announcement Effects of New Equity Issues and The Use of Intraday Price Data†. Journal of Financial Economics 21 Brav, Alon and J. B. Heaton (2003) â€Å"Market Indeterminacy† Journal of Corporation Law, Vol. 28 Brealey, Richard A. , Stewart C. Myers, and Franklin Allen, (2006). â€Å"Corporate Finance†, 8th Ed. , Mcgraw-Hill/Irwin, New York Byers, S. S. and John C. Groth (2000) â€Å"Non-Economic Factors and Asset Valuation† Conference Papers on Alternative Perspective on Finance and Accounting, http://www. departments. bucknell. edu/management/apfa/dundee%20papers. htm Chaudhuri, K. and Smiles, S. (2004), â€Å"Stock Market and Aggregate Economic Activity: Evidence from Australia,† Applied Financial Economics, (14) Chen, J. (2005), â€Å"The Physical Foundations of Economics†, World Scientific Publishing Co. , London. Clerc, Laurent and Christian Pfister (2001) â€Å"The Role of Financial Factors in the Transmission of Monetary policy† Bank for International Settlements, BIS Papers No 19, http://www. bis. org/publ/bppdf/bispap19h. pdf Corwin, Shane, A (2003) â€Å"The Determinants of Underpricing for Seasoned Equity Offers† Journal of Finance 58(5) Docking, Diane S. ; Koch, Paul D. (2005), â€Å"Sensitivity of Investor Reaction to Market Direction And Volatility: Dividend Change Announcements,† Journal of Financial Research 87 [13] [14] [15] [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] [21] [22] [23] [24] [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] [30] [31] [32] [33] [34] [35] [36] International Research Journal of Finance and Economics – Issue 30 (2009) Easley, David, Soeren Hvidkjaer, and Maureen O’Hara, 2002, Is Information Risk a Determinant of Asset Returns? Journal of Finance, 57 Giammarino, Ronald M. , and Tracy Lewis, (1989), â€Å"A Theory of Negotiated Equity Financing†, Review of Financial Studies, 1 Gompers, Paul A. , Joy L. Ishii, and Andrew Metrick (2003) â€Å"Corporate Governance and Equity Prices† Grinblatt, M. and C. Y. Hwang, (1989). † Signalling and The Pricing Of New Issues†, Journal of Finance, 44 Hartono, Jogiyanto. (2004), â€Å"the Recency Effect of Accounting information,† Gadjah Mada International Journal of Business, Vol. 6 No. 1 Hordahl, Peter and Frank Packer, (2007), â€Å"Understanding asset prices: an overview† 2006 Autumn Meeting of Central Bank Economists, Bank for International Settlements, BIS Papers, No. 34 Ibrahim, Mansor H. (2003), â€Å"Macroeconomic Forces and Capital Market Integration: A VAR Analysis for Malaysia,† Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 8 (1) Jennergren, L. P. 2008) â€Å"A Tutorial on The Discounted Cash Flow Model For Valuation of Companies†, Working Paper Series in Business Administration, Stockholm School of Economics John, K. and J. Williams, (1985), â€Å"Dividends, Dilution, and Taxes: A Signaling Equilibrium,† Journal of Finance, 40 Joos, Philip and Alexei Zhdanov (2007) â€Å"Earnings and Equity Valuati on in the Biotech Industry: Theory and Evidence† http://papers. ssrn. com/sol3/papers. cfm? abstract Kang, H. G. (2004) â€Å"Disclosure-Risk Premium: Asset Pricing Under Asymmetric Information, Manipulation and Ambiguity†, Working Paper Series, Social Science Research Network, http://papers. srn. com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth. cfm? per_id=333508 Kislingerova, Eva, (2000) â€Å"Using of The Economic Value Added Model for Valuation of a Company†, Narodna Banka Slovenska, BIATEC, Rocnik, 8, 11 Koller, Tim, Marc Goedhart, and David Wessels, (2005), â€Å"Valuation: Measuring and Managing The Value of Companies†, Wiley, Hoboken, New Jersey, 4th Ed. , Lee, Bong-Soo (2006) â€Å"An Empirical Evaluation of Behavioral Models Based on Decompositions of Stock Prices† Journal of Business, Vol. 79, issue 1 Lo, K. and T. Lys, (2000) â€Å"The Ohlson Model: Contribution to Valuation Theory, Limitations, And Empirical Applications. Journal of Accounting, Auditing and Finance, 15 (3) Loderer C. F. , Sheehan D. P. , and Kadlec G. B. , 1991, â€Å"The pricing of equity offerings†, Journal of Financial Economics, 29 Miller, M. and K. Rock, (1985), â€Å"Dividend Policy Under Asymmetric Information,† Journal of Finance 40 Molodovsky, Nicholas (1995),â€Å"A Theory of Price-Earnings Ratios†, Financial Analysts Journal, 51( 1) Moore, J. S Beltz, J. C (2002) â€Å"Share Price Performance and Observable Factors: A Perspective from Rule Induction†, Small Business Advancement National Centre, http://www. sbaer. uca. du/research/TemporarilyDisabled—- wdsi/2002/pdffiles/toc. pdf Mukherjee, Tarun K. ; Naka, Atsuyuki (1995) â€Å"Dynamic Relations Between Macroeconomic Variables and The Japanese Stock Market: An Application of Vector Error Correction Model,† The Journal Of Financial Research, XVIII. (2) O’hara, M. , (1995), â€Å"Market Microstructure Theory†, Blackwell Publishers Ltd, Malden, Ma O†™hara, M. , (2003), â€Å"Liquidity and Price Discovery†, Journal of Finance, 58, 4 Preinreich, G. A. D. (1938), â€Å"Annual Survey of Economic Theory: The Theory of Depreciation† Econometrica, 6 Rigobon, Roberto and Brian P. Sack (2003) ’’Spillovers Across U. S. Financial Markets, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), Working Paper W9640 International Research Journal of Finance and Economics – Issue 30 (2009) [37] [38] [39] [40] [41] [42] [43] [44] [45] [46] [47] [48] 188 Rock, Kevin, (1986), â€Å"Why New Issues Are Underpriced†, Journal of Financial Economics, 15 Ross, Stephen A. (1976) â€Å"An Arbitrage Theory of Capital Asset Pricing†. Journal of Economic Theory, 13 Sharpe, W. F. , (1964), â€Å"Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk†, Journal of Finance, Vol. 19 Smith, Clifford W. (1977), â€Å"Alternative Methods For Raising Capital: Rights Versus Underwritten Offerings†, Journal of Financial Economics, 5 Thisday Newspapers (2008) â€Å"Nigeria: SEC – Capital Market Loses N3 Trillion in Six Months†, http://allafrica. com/stories/200810210014. html Tully, Shwan (2008) â€Å"The Real Key to Creating Wealth†: Fortune Magazine cited in Kislingeriva, Eva â€Å"Using of the Economic Value Added Model for Valuation of a Company† Narodna Banka Slovenska, BIATEC, Rocnik 8, 11 Tymoigne, Erick (2002) â€Å"Financial Inflation and Financial Convention† Oeconomicus, Volume V, Winter 2002, Udegbunam, R. I. and P. O. Eriki (2001), â€Å"Inflation and Stock Price Behavior: Evidence from Nigerian Stock Market,† Journal of Financial Management Analysis, XX (14) Welch, I. , (1989) â€Å"Seasoned Offerings, Imitation Costs, And The Underpricing Of Initial Public Offerings†, Journal of Finance 44 Wessa, P. (2008), Free Statistics Software, Office for Research Development and Education, version 1. 1. 23-r3 Zhang, X. Frank (2004) â€Å"Information Uncertainty and Stock Returns† An Article Submitted to The Journal of Finance Manuscript 1149 www. afajof. rg/afa/forthcoming/zhang_information. pdf Zhao, Xing-Qiu (1999), â€Å"Stock prices, inflation and output: evidence from China,† Applied Economics Letters, 6 Appendix Appendix I: Selected Market Indices (2001 – 2007) YEAR PRICE* DPS* EPS* GDP** INT** 42. 53 430. 00 393. 29 431,783. 10 21. 34 2001 43. 70 432. 72 412. 52 451,785. 60 29. 70 2002 109. 21 577. 63 459. 83 495,007. 10 22. 47 2003 116. 76 552. 48 60 0. 59 527,576. 00 20. 62 2004 110. 56 466. 97 708. 90 561,931. 40 19. 47 2005 102. 33 553. 87 1,666. 03 595,821. 61 18. 43 2006 95. 87 549. 93 894. 96 561,776. 34 19. 1 2007 Source: Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin** : Cashcraft Asset Management Limited / APT Securities and Fund Limited * OIL** 24. 50 25. 40 29. 10 38. 70 57. 60 66. 50 54. 27 INFLE** 18. 90 12. 90 14. 00 15. 00 17. 90 8. 20 13. 70 FX ** 111. 94 120. 97 129. 36 133. 50 132. 15 128. 65 131. 43 189 International Research Journal of Finance and Economics – Issue 30 (2009) Appendix II: Regression Analysis Of Selected Market Indices (2001 – 2007) Multiple Linear Regression – Estimated Regression Equation SP[t] = +0. 38353330161483 DPS[t] +0. 086971432931437 EPS[t] +0. 38049146437789 GDP[t] -0. 82357353121514 INT[t] -1. 740597666311 FX[t] -67. 238476376193 + e[t] Multiple Linear Regression – Ordinary Least Squares Variable DPS[t] EPS[t] GDP[t] INT[t] FX[t] Constant Variable %DPS[t] % EPS[t] %GDP[t] %INT[t] %FX[t] %Constant Variable Parameter 0. 383533 0. 086971 0. 380491 -0. 823574 -1. 97406 -67. 238476 Elasticity 2. 201042 0. 359282 2. 221624 -0. 200986 -2. 822992 -0. 75797 Stand. Coeff. S. E. 0. 010577 0. 002606 0. 017447 0. 111666 0. 17603 7. 006084 S. E. * 0. 060703 0. 010767 0. 101869 0. 027251 0. 25173 0. 078979 S. E. * T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 36. 259468 33. 368601 21. 808584 -7. 375331 -11. 214366 -9. 597156 T-STAT H0: |elast| = 1 19. 785697 -59. 07274 11. 992081 -29. 320395 7. 241855 -3. 064493 T-STAT H0: coeff = 0 2-tail p-value 0. 017553 0. 019073 0. 029171 0. 085794 0. 056618 0. 066096 2-tail p-value 0. 032148 0. 010697 0. 052964 0. 021704 0. 087356 0. 200805 2-tail p-value 1-tail p-value 0. 008776 0. 009536 0. 014585 0. 042897 0. 028309 0. 033048 1-tail p-value 0. 016074 0. 005349 0. 026482 0. 010852 0. 043678 0. 100402 1-tail p-value 0. 008776 0. 009536 0. 014585 0. 042897 0. 028309 0. 5 S-DPS[t] 0. 763848 0. 021066 36. 259468 0. 017553 S-EPS[t] 0. 69251 0. 020753 33. 368601 0. 019073 S-GDP[t] 0. 729372 0. 033444 21. 808584 0. 029171 S-INT[t] -0. 09814 0. 013307 -7. 75331 0. 085794 S-FX[t] -0. 48017 0. 042817 -11. 214366 0. 056618 S-Constant 0 0 0 1 Computed against deterministic endogenous series *Note Multiple Linear Regression – Regression Statistics Multiple R 0. 999981 R-squared 0. 999963 Adjusted R-squared 0. 999777 F-TEST 5385. 033289 Observations 7 Degrees of Freedom 1 Multiple Linear Regression – Residual Statistics Standard Error 0. 475177 Sum Squared Errors 0. 225793 Log Likelihood 2. 086595 Durbin-Watson 3. 380955 Von Neumann Ratio 3. 944448 # e[t] 0 3 # e[t] 0 4 # Runs 6 Runs Statistic 1. 333946 NB: Regression analysis was done using a software developed by Wessa (2008) How to cite Factors Affecting Share Prices, Papers

Thursday, December 5, 2019

Significant Implications Practical Implications

Question: Discuss about the Significant Implications for Practical Implications. Answer: Introduction: Explain in plain English the practical implications of the decision of the Federal Court in Waensila v Minister for Immigration and Border Protection [2016] FCAFC 32 There are certain significant implications attached with the decision given by the court in this case, particularly related with partner visa. In this case, it was unanimously decided by the Full Court of the Federal Court of Australia that no "temporal limitation" has been imposed, regarding the time of the persuasive conditions that have been relied upon concerning the schedule 3 waiver need to be present. In this regard, it was mentioned by the court that as a result of the interpretation of sub-clause 820.211(2)(d)(ii), it can be said that the compelling circumstances can be considered by the court, regardless of the fact when these circumstances the place. In this way, this decision implies that the Department and also the Tribunal is not limited to considering the persuasive circumstances that were in existence at the time of making the application. Therefore, the department can consider the circumstances that the place even after the application was made and should consider th ese circumstances. In the opinion of the Court, as the purpose behind the discretion granted to the Minister is with a view to provide greater flexibility regarding the relevant circumstances and for example, for the purpose of dealing with the hardships that are faced by the applicants, it will not be consistent with the purpose mentioned above if an interpretation of the above provision is adopted according to which, the circumstances that can be considered in this regard only the circumstances that place when the application was made. In this case, Dowsett J stated that the circumstances on which the Department or the Tribunal may rely upon for the purpose of justifying the use of discretion of not applying the waiver under schedule the should not be restricted as a result of the lack of statutory requirements. The court also pointed out towards the fact that in sub-clause 820.211(2)(d)(ii), there is no requirement according to which a restriction has been placed on the matters that can be treated as compelling as only the circumstances that existed when the application for partner visa was made. In this context, the reasoning adopted by Griffith J was that the authority of waiving the requirements that were present in schedule 3 were not in itself a criterion mentioned by Part 822 Schedule 2. The result was that he opined that the title that was given to clause 820.21 being the criteria that needs to be satisfied at the time of application cannot be considered as having the effect of limiting the consideration of the person making the decision to the convincing circumstances that existed at the time of the making of the application. The waiver power that has been prescribed by sub-clause 8320.211(2)(d)(ii) has been mentioned in the following terms. It says that the Minister is satisfied that compelling reasons exist for not applying schedule 3 and as a result, it can be said that the waiver power can be used while deciding the issue related with the grant of visa and consequently, the matters that can be considered in this regard should not cover only the matters that were present at the time of the making of the application but also to the matters that had arisen when the decision was being made. Due to the reason that the waiver power has been introduced with a view to decrease the difficulties faced by the applicants, it was significant that the wording should be used by the law, restricting the matters that can be considered. As in this case, such language does not exist, in the opinion of the Court, it will not be appropriate to interpret these regulations as providing that the reasons that can be considered are restricted to the circumstances that were present at the time of making the application. Nothing is present in the Explanatory Statement to the amendments that have been used this provision in 820.211(2)(d)(ii) that can reflect that the circumstances that can be considered while deciding the issue of the waiver of schedule 3 need to be present when the application was made and not afterwards. Under these circumstances, it can be said that the significance of this decision is present in the fact that it has been unanimously decided by the Full Court that the above mentioned provisions do not result in imposing a temporal limitation of the compelling and compassionate grounds that can be considered while dealing with the issue of waiver of Schedule 3 criteria. The effect is that while interpreting 820.211(2)(d), it was mentioned by the court that the effect of the compelling circumstances will be carried through to the time when the application was being assessed the, and not only at the time of the making of the application. Therefore, in view of this decision, the Department and Tribunal will have an obligation of considering the circumstances of the applicants that existed when the application was being evaluated. In this way, a significant implication of this decision is that the grounds have been expanded, that can be relied upon by the applicants when they make an application for the waiver of schedule 3 criteria. In the same way, this decision also has the implication that it increases the chances of such an applicant to remain on shore while there application is being processed. In this context, it can also be stated that the effect of this decision will be retrospective, dealing with the previous cases by relying on the compelling circumstances that existed when the decision on the application was made and not only the circumstances that existed at the time of the making of the application. In this way, keeping aside its current policy, the Department and the Tribunals will have to abide by this decision or until this decision is overruled by the High Court. Till then, as a result of the effect of this decision, while dealing with the issue of the waiver of schedule 3 criteria, a much wider scope of circumstances need to be considered by the decision-makers when we are dealing with such an application. In this way, significant implications of this decision are present, particularly relating with the application for partner visa. Bibliography Acts Interpretation Act 1901 Migration Act 1958 Migration Regulations (Amendment) 1996 No 75 (Cth), Explanatory Statement Migration Regulations 1994 Waensila v Minister for Immigration and Border Protection [2016] FCAFC